SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Adam Giles v Matthew Marshall (Sat 16 Feb 2019)

Match won by Matthew Marshall. Result: 11-6,9-11,6-11,1-11.

Starting level for Adam Giles: 7,234, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for Matthew Marshall: 9,365, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Matthew Marshall to win as he is currently playing 29% better than Adam Giles.

Matthew Marshall won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 44% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Matthew Marshall played 31% better than Adam Giles in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Matthew Marshall actually played at a level of 9,436 and Adam Giles at a level of 7,180. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0.8% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.7% and 0.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Matthew Marshall changes to +0.5% and Adam Giles changes to -0.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Matthew Marshall becomes +0.3% and for Adam Giles becomes -0.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'AJ Bell British National Masters Championships 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Matthew Marshall: 94%, Adam Giles: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Matthew Marshall: 94%, Adam Giles: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Adam Giles: 7,198, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Matthew Marshall: 9,376, level confidence: 94%.