SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Phil Leek v Leslie Callow (Sat 02 Mar 2019)

Match won by Leslie Callow. Result: 15-13,7-15,12-15,10-15.

Starting level for Phil Leek: 666, level confidence: 10%.
Starting level for Leslie Callow: 796, level confidence: 70%.
Leslie Callow to win as he is currently playing 20% better than Phil Leek.

Leslie Callow won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 32% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Leslie Callow played 27% better than Phil Leek in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Leslie Callow actually played at a level of 821 and Phil Leek at a level of 645. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3.2% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Leslie Callow changes to +0.4% and Phil Leek changes to -2.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Leslie Callow becomes +0.4% and for Phil Leek becomes -2.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Intercounty Masters 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Leslie Callow: 84%, Phil Leek: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Leslie Callow: 81%, Phil Leek: 31%.

A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Phil Leek: 653, level confidence: 31%.
Final level for Leslie Callow: 799, level confidence: 81%.