SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Malcolm Levy v Chris Cave (Mon 11 Mar 2019)

Match won by Malcolm Levy. Result: 11-6,11-7,11-6.

Starting level for Malcolm Levy: 4,589, level confidence: 44%.
Starting level for Chris Cave: 1,924, level confidence: 65%.
Malcolm Levy to win as he is currently playing 139% better than Chris Cave.

Malcolm Levy won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 74% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Malcolm Levy played 74% better than Chris Cave in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Malcolm Levy was taking it easy by anything up to 17%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 3,142 and 4,589 without affecting his level.

In this case, Malcolm Levy played at level 3,562 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Malcolm Levy would normally have been playing at level 3,797 (based on typical behaviour), Chris Cave played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 6.6%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 4.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Malcolm Levy changes to 0% and Chris Cave changes to +2.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Malcolm Levy becomes 0% and for Chris Cave becomes +2.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Isle of Man Utmost Wealth Solutions Championships 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Malcolm Levy: 67%, Chris Cave: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Malcolm Levy: 57%, Chris Cave: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Malcolm Levy: 4,582, level confidence: 57%.
Final level for Chris Cave: 1,964, level confidence: 69%.