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Jim Reay v Rick Scannell (Thu 14 Mar 2019)

Match won by Jim Reay. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Jim Reay: 559, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Rick Scannell: 271, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Jim Reay to win as he is currently playing 106% better than Rick Scannell.

Jim Reay won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Jim Reay was taking it easy by anything up to 13%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 392 and 559 without affecting his level.

In this case, Jim Reay played at level 480 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Jim Reay would normally have been playing at level 485 (based on typical behaviour), Rick Scannell played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 1.1%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0.8% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 0.5%.

As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jim Reay: 85%, Rick Scannell: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jim Reay: 78%, Rick Scannell: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jim Reay: 558, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Rick Scannell: 271, level confidence: 83%.