SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

David Wallond v Iain Ross (Sat 16 Mar 2019)

Match won by David Wallond. Result: 15-6,15-8,15-7.

Starting level for David Wallond: 3,157, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Iain Ross: 1,666, level confidence: 29%.
David Wallond to win as he is currently playing 89% better than Iain Ross.

David Wallond won all of the games and 68% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 114% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David Wallond played 114% better than Iain Ross in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like David Wallond actually played at a level of 3,357 and Iain Ross at a level of 1,567. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 6.3% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 4.6% and 4.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for David Wallond changes to +1.8% and Iain Ross changes to -4.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for David Wallond becomes +1.2% and for Iain Ross becomes -3.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Surrey Vets Winter 2018/19' so the adjustment for David Wallond is +0.9% and for Iain Ross is -2.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David Wallond: 86%, Iain Ross: 54%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David Wallond: 81%, Iain Ross: 51%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for David Wallond: 3,180, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Iain Ross: 1,626, level confidence: 51%.