SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Oscar Hill v Alexandra Bardac (Fri 22 Mar 2019)

Match won by Oscar Hill. Result: 11-1,11-3,11-0.

Starting level for Oscar Hill: 4,875, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Alexandra Bardac: 924, level confidence: 64%.
Oscar Hill to win as he is currently playing 428% better than Alexandra Bardac.

Oscar Hill won all of the games and 89% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 725% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Oscar Hill played 725% better than Alexandra Bardac in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Oscar Hill actually played at a level of 6,096 and Alexandra Bardac at a level of 739. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 25% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 10.2% and 10.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Oscar Hill changes to +8.4% and Alexandra Bardac changes to -10.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Oscar Hill becomes +3.3% and for Alexandra Bardac becomes -6.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Kent Kings Open 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Alexandra Bardac is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Oscar Hill: 89%, Alexandra Bardac: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Oscar Hill: 71%, Alexandra Bardac: 64%.

A final adjustment of +0.8% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Oscar Hill: 5,036, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Alexandra Bardac: 895, level confidence: 64%.