SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joel Makin v Cédric Kuchen (Thu 21 Mar 2019)

Match won by Joel Makin. Result: 11-4,11-4,11-9.

Starting level for Joel Makin: 50,966, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Starting level for Cédric Kuchen: 16,888, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Joel Makin to win as he is currently playing 202% better than Cédric Kuchen.

Joel Makin won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joel Makin played 94% better than Cédric Kuchen in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Joel Makin was taking it easy by anything up to 25%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 26,995 and 50,966 without affecting his level.

In this case, Joel Makin played at level 35,492 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Joel Makin would normally have been playing at level 38,425 (based on typical behaviour), Cédric Kuchen played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 8.3%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 4.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Joel Makin changes to 0% and Cédric Kuchen changes to +4.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Joel Makin becomes 0% and for Cédric Kuchen becomes +1.7%.

Given Cédric Kuchen's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 33% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Swiss Interclub 2018/19' so the adjustment for Joel Makin is 0% and for Cédric Kuchen is +1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joel Makin: 95%, Cédric Kuchen: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joel Makin: 76%, Cédric Kuchen: 68%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joel Makin: 50,890, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Cédric Kuchen: 17,024, level confidence: 68%.