SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

David O'Neill v Luke Tippett (Tue 30 Apr 2019)

Match won by David O'Neill. Result: 15-6,15-9,15-11.

Starting level for David O'Neill: 1,500, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for Luke Tippett: 538, level confidence: 64%.
David O'Neill to win as he is currently playing 179% better than Luke Tippett.

David O'Neill won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 73% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David O'Neill played 73% better than Luke Tippett in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that David O'Neill was taking it easy by anything up to 22%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 890 and 1,500 without affecting his level.

In this case, David O'Neill played at level 1,044 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that David O'Neill would normally have been playing at level 1,170 (based on typical behaviour), Luke Tippett played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 12%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 7.1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for David O'Neill changes to 0% and Luke Tippett changes to +7.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for David O'Neill becomes 0% and for Luke Tippett becomes +5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 90% for 'Isle of Man BC SRA Cup 2019' so the adjustment for David O'Neill is 0% and for Luke Tippett is +4.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David O'Neill: 90%, Luke Tippett: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David O'Neill: 71%, Luke Tippett: 63%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for David O'Neill: 1,498, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Luke Tippett: 561, level confidence: 63%.