SquashLevels calculations
Alan Clyne v Valentin Rapp (Sun 28 Apr 2019)
Match won by Alan Clyne. Result: 11-6,11-5,11-9.
Starting level for
Alan Clyne:
37,537, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for
Valentin Rapp:
21,111, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Alan Clyne to win as he is currently playing
78% better than Valentin Rapp.
Alan Clyne won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alan Clyne played
65% better than Valentin Rapp in this match.
In this case, Alan Clyne played at level 34,833 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Valentin Rapp is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alan Clyne: 82%, Valentin Rapp: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alan Clyne: 79%, Valentin Rapp: 84%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Alan Clyne:
37,532, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Valentin Rapp:
21,252, level confidence: 84%.