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Alan Clyne v Benedek Seb?K (Sun 28 Apr 2019)

Match won by Alan Clyne. Result: 11-4,11-1,11-7.

Starting level for Alan Clyne: 39,678, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Benedek Seb?K: 9,282, level confidence: 52%.
Alan Clyne to win as he is currently playing 327% better than Benedek Seb?K.

Alan Clyne won all of the games and 73% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 175% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alan Clyne played 175% better than Benedek Seb?K in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Alan Clyne was taking it easy by anything up to 37%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 15,877 and 39,678 without affecting his level.

In this case, Alan Clyne played at level 25,526 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Benedek Seb?K is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alan Clyne: 85%, Benedek Seb?K: 72%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alan Clyne: 69%, Benedek Seb?K: 58%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Alan Clyne: 39,619, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Benedek Seb?K: 9,268, level confidence: 58%.