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Amaline Batty v Magnus Lamprecht (Tue 07 May 2019)

Match won by Magnus Lamprecht. Result: 7-15,3-15,5-15.

Starting level for Amaline Batty: 371, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Magnus Lamprecht: 1,179, level confidence: 70%.
Magnus Lamprecht to win as he is currently playing 218% better than Amaline Batty.

Magnus Lamprecht won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Magnus Lamprecht played 200% better than Amaline Batty in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Magnus Lamprecht was taking it easy by anything up to 26%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 621 and 1,179 without affecting his level.

In this case, Magnus Lamprecht played at level 1,113 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Amaline Batty is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Magnus Lamprecht: 84%, Amaline Batty: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Magnus Lamprecht: 81%, Amaline Batty: 82%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Amaline Batty: 370, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Magnus Lamprecht: 1,177, level confidence: 81%.