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Magnus Lamprecht v Peter Sharples (Thu 16 May 2019)

Match won by Magnus Lamprecht. Result: 15-11,13-15,15-7,15-7.

Starting level for Magnus Lamprecht: 1,179, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Peter Sharples: 1,050, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Magnus Lamprecht to win as he is currently playing 12% better than Peter Sharples.

Magnus Lamprecht won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 45% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Magnus Lamprecht played 32% better than Peter Sharples in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Magnus Lamprecht actually played at a level of 1,276 and Peter Sharples at a level of 970. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 8.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Magnus Lamprecht changes to +7.4% and Peter Sharples changes to -7.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Magnus Lamprecht becomes +4.8% and for Peter Sharples becomes -5.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 90% for 'Isle of Man BC - SRA Cup 2019' so the adjustment for Magnus Lamprecht is +4.4% and for Peter Sharples is -4.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Magnus Lamprecht: 88%, Peter Sharples: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Magnus Lamprecht: 82%, Peter Sharples: 80%.

A final adjustment of +1.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Magnus Lamprecht: 1,229, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Peter Sharples: 1,024, level confidence: 80%.