SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Lyndon Cheetham v Mark Webster-Smith (Fri 17 May 2019)

Match won by Lyndon Cheetham. Result: 15-7,15-10,11-15,13-15,15-13.

Starting level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,114, level confidence: 84%. Set manually.
Starting level for Mark Webster-Smith: 2,251, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Mark Webster-Smith to win as he is currently playing 6% better than Lyndon Cheetham.

Lyndon Cheetham won 60% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 15% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Lyndon Cheetham played 11% better than Mark Webster-Smith in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Lyndon Cheetham actually played at a level of 2,301 and Mark Webster-Smith at a level of 2,068. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 8.8% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Lyndon Cheetham changes to +7.7% and Mark Webster-Smith changes to -8.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Lyndon Cheetham becomes +4% and for Mark Webster-Smith becomes -4.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 90% for 'Isle of Man BC - SRA Cup 2019' so the adjustment for Lyndon Cheetham is +3.6% and for Mark Webster-Smith is -3.8%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Lyndon Cheetham: 92%, Mark Webster-Smith: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Lyndon Cheetham: 84%, Mark Webster-Smith: 80%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Lyndon Cheetham: 2,187, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Mark Webster-Smith: 2,165, level confidence: 80%.