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Patrick Rooney v Eain Yow Ng (Tue 21 May 2019)

Match won by Patrick Rooney. Result: 11-8,12-10,11-7.

Starting level for Patrick Rooney: 31,058, level confidence: 64%.
Starting level for Eain Yow Ng: 36,745, level confidence: 51%.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing 18% better than Patrick Rooney.

Patrick Rooney won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Patrick Rooney played 42% better than Eain Yow Ng in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Patrick Rooney actually played at a level of 40,294 and Eain Yow Ng at a level of 28,322. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 30% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Patrick Rooney changes to +22% and Eain Yow Ng changes to -27%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Patrick Rooney becomes +4.6% and for Eain Yow Ng becomes -5.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA British Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Patrick Rooney: 80%, Eain Yow Ng: 71%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Patrick Rooney: 62%, Eain Yow Ng: 55%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Patrick Rooney: 32,438, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Eain Yow Ng: 35,071, level confidence: 55%.