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Leonel Cardenas v Robertino Pezzota (Sat 25 May 2019)

Match won by Leonel Cardenas. Result: 13-11,12-10,7-11,8-11,11-9.

Starting level for Leonel Cardenas: 28,052, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Robertino Pezzota: 29,374, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Robertino Pezzota to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Leonel Cardenas.

Leonel Cardenas won 60% of the games and 50% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 2% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Leonel Cardenas played 7% better than Robertino Pezzota in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Leonel Cardenas actually played at a level of 29,696 and Robertino Pezzota at a level of 27,748. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 5.9% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Leonel Cardenas changes to +5.7% and Robertino Pezzota changes to -5.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Leonel Cardenas becomes +1.7% and for Robertino Pezzota becomes -1.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Regatas Resistencia Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Leonel Cardenas: 87%, Robertino Pezzota: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Leonel Cardenas: 82%, Robertino Pezzota: 81%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Leonel Cardenas: 28,528, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Robertino Pezzota: 28,903, level confidence: 81%.