SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ashley Sandyford-Sykes v David Norman (Thu 30 May 2019)

Match won by David Norman. Result: 11-7,5-11,6-11,5-11.

Starting level for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 4,820, level confidence: 59%.
Starting level for David Norman: 7,765, level confidence: 59%.
David Norman to win as he is currently playing 61% better than Ashley Sandyford-Sykes.

David Norman won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 48% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David Norman played 33% better than Ashley Sandyford-Sykes in this match.

As David Norman has played below his allowed range at 6,469, his level reduction is 1.2% before damping. On the assumption that David Norman would normally have been playing at level 7,271 (based on typical behaviour), Ashley Sandyford-Sykes played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 6.6%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.9% and 5.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for David Norman changes to -0.9% and Ashley Sandyford-Sykes changes to +5.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for David Norman becomes -0.5% and for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes becomes +2.4%.

Given David Norman's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 187% has been applied to his level change.

Given Ashley Sandyford-Sykes's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 113% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 40% for 'Club match' so the adjustment for David Norman is 0% and for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes is +0.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David Norman: 77%, Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David Norman: 70%, Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 70%.

Final level for Ashley Sandyford-Sykes: 4,842, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for David Norman: 7,760, level confidence: 70%.