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Rex Hedrick v Gabe Yam (Thu 06 Jun 2019)

Match won by Rex Hedrick. Result: 11-4,11-3,11-3.

Starting level for Rex Hedrick: 33,072, level confidence: 48%.
Starting level for Gabe Yam: 14,126, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Rex Hedrick to win as he is currently playing 134% better than Gabe Yam.

Rex Hedrick won all of the games and 77% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 230% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Rex Hedrick played 230% better than Gabe Yam in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Rex Hedrick actually played at a level of 39,264 and Gabe Yam at a level of 11,898. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 19% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 12% and 12% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Rex Hedrick changes to +12% and Gabe Yam changes to -7.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Rex Hedrick becomes +2.9% and for Gabe Yam becomes -2.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA New Zealand International Classic' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Rex Hedrick: 70%, Gabe Yam: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Rex Hedrick: 59%, Gabe Yam: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Rex Hedrick: 34,015, level confidence: 59%.
Final level for Gabe Yam: 13,782, level confidence: 71%.