SquashLevels calculations
Nick Matthew v Cameron Pilley (Tue 08 Jan 2019)
Match won by Nick Matthew. Result: 11-7,11-8.
Starting level for
Nick Matthew:
54,572, level confidence: 50%.
Starting level for
Cameron Pilley:
34,859, level confidence: 59%.
Nick Matthew to win as he is currently playing
57% better than Cameron Pilley.
Nick Matthew won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 47% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nick Matthew played
49% better than Cameron Pilley in this match.
In this case, Nick Matthew played at level 52,085 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Cameron Pilley is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nick Matthew: 71%, Cameron Pilley: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nick Matthew: 69%, Cameron Pilley: 75%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Nick Matthew:
54,490, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Cameron Pilley:
34,807, level confidence: 75%.