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Abdulla Al-Tamimi v Mahesh Mangaonkar (Tue 23 Jul 2019)

Match won by Abdulla Al-Tamimi. Result: 11-9,11-6,3-11,11-9.

Starting level for Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 30,502, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 36,941, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Mahesh Mangaonkar to win as he is currently playing 21% better than Abdulla Al-Tamimi.

Abdulla Al-Tamimi won 75% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 3% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Abdulla Al-Tamimi played 18% better than Mahesh Mangaonkar in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Abdulla Al-Tamimi actually played at a level of 36,416 and Mahesh Mangaonkar at a level of 30,942. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 19% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Abdulla Al-Tamimi changes to +17% and Mahesh Mangaonkar changes to -17%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Abdulla Al-Tamimi becomes +3.9% and for Mahesh Mangaonkar becomes -3.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Qsf Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 83%, Mahesh Mangaonkar: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 69%, Mahesh Mangaonkar: 71%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 31,676, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 35,745, level confidence: 71%.