SquashLevels calculations
Miguel Rodriguez v Chris Hanson (Thu 25 Jul 2019)
Match won by Miguel Rodriguez. Result: 11-5,11-7,13-11.
Starting level for
Miguel Rodriguez:
45,843, level confidence: 47%.
Starting level for
Chris Hanson:
29,864, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Miguel Rodriguez to win as he is currently playing
54% better than Chris Hanson.
Miguel Rodriguez won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 52% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Miguel Rodriguez played
53% better than Chris Hanson in this match.
In this case, Miguel Rodriguez played at level 45,724 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Chris Hanson is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Miguel Rodriguez: 69%, Chris Hanson: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Miguel Rodriguez: 69%, Chris Hanson: 85%.
A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Miguel Rodriguez:
45,834, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Chris Hanson:
29,869, level confidence: 85%.