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Diego Gobbi v Jaime Pinto (Tue 23 Jul 2019)

Match won by Diego Gobbi. Result: 11-4,11-6,11-7.

Starting level for Diego Gobbi: 22,433, level confidence: 52%.
Starting level for Jaime Pinto: 10,911, level confidence: 67%.
Diego Gobbi to win as he is currently playing 106% better than Jaime Pinto.

Diego Gobbi won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Diego Gobbi played 94% better than Jaime Pinto in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Diego Gobbi was taking it easy by anything up to 13%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 16,932 and 22,433 without affecting his level.

In this case, Diego Gobbi played at level 21,180 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Jaime Pinto is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Diego Gobbi: 72%, Jaime Pinto: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Diego Gobbi: 70%, Jaime Pinto: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Diego Gobbi: 22,399, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Jaime Pinto: 10,895, level confidence: 79%.