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Jack Mitterer v Oscar Hill (Fri 09 Aug 2019)

Match won by Jack Mitterer. Result: 11-8,11-5,11-0.

Starting level for Jack Mitterer: 13,355, level confidence: 86%. Set manually.
Starting level for Oscar Hill: 4,960, level confidence: 66%.
Jack Mitterer to win as he is currently playing 169% better than Oscar Hill.

Jack Mitterer won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jack Mitterer played 154% better than Oscar Hill in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Jack Mitterer was taking it easy by anything up to 21%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 8,351 and 13,355 without affecting his level.

In this case, Jack Mitterer played at level 12,591 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Oscar Hill is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jack Mitterer: 93%, Oscar Hill: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jack Mitterer: 90%, Oscar Hill: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jack Mitterer: 13,335, level confidence: 90%.
Final level for Oscar Hill: 4,953, level confidence: 79%.