SquashLevels calculations
Ryan Cuskelly v Leonel Cardenas (Thu 08 Aug 2019)
Match won by Ryan Cuskelly. Result: 11-8,11-6,11-6.
Starting level for
Ryan Cuskelly:
45,517, level confidence: 54%.
Starting level for
Leonel Cardenas:
27,144, level confidence: 53%.
Ryan Cuskelly to win as he is currently playing
68% better than Leonel Cardenas.
Ryan Cuskelly won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ryan Cuskelly played
65% better than Leonel Cardenas in this match.
In this case, Ryan Cuskelly played at level 44,788 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Leonel Cardenas is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ryan Cuskelly: 74%, Leonel Cardenas: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ryan Cuskelly: 73%, Leonel Cardenas: 72%.
A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Ryan Cuskelly:
45,543, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Leonel Cardenas:
27,183, level confidence: 72%.