SquashLevels calculations
Saurav Ghosal v Mazen Hesham (Fri 06 Sep 2019)
Match won by Saurav Ghosal. Result: 12-10,11-9,12-14,11-7.
Starting level for
Saurav Ghosal:
50,903, level confidence: 55%.
Starting level for
Mazen Hesham:
41,318, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Saurav Ghosal to win as he is currently playing
23% better than Mazen Hesham.
Saurav Ghosal won 75% of the games and 53% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 15% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Saurav Ghosal played
22% better than Mazen Hesham in this match.
In this case, Saurav Ghosal played at level 50,284 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Mazen Hesham is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Saurav Ghosal: 74%, Mazen Hesham: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Saurav Ghosal: 74%, Mazen Hesham: 84%.
A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Saurav Ghosal:
50,823, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Mazen Hesham:
41,448, level confidence: 84%.