SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

James Stedman v Thomas Knight (Wed 11 Sep 2019)

Match won by James Stedman. Result: 15-10,9-15,13-15,16-14,15-7.

Starting level for James Stedman: 1,430, level confidence: 27%.
Starting level for Thomas Knight: 2,450, level confidence: 29%.
Thomas Knight to win as he is currently playing 71% better than James Stedman.

James Stedman won 60% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 11% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Stedman played 10% better than Thomas Knight in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like James Stedman actually played at a level of 1,966 and Thomas Knight at a level of 1,782. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 38% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 28% and 28% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for James Stedman changes to +28% and Thomas Knight changes to -25%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for James Stedman becomes +12.5% and for Thomas Knight becomes -9.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Sussex Mens League 2019/2020' so the adjustment for James Stedman is +9.4% and for Thomas Knight is -7.1%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Stedman: 52%, Thomas Knight: 54%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Stedman: 38%, Thomas Knight: 39%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Stedman: 1,568, level confidence: 38%.
Final level for Thomas Knight: 2,294, level confidence: 39%.