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Mathieu Castagnet v Ramit Tandon (Tue 10 Sep 2019)

Match won by Mathieu Castagnet. Result: 10-12,11-4,12-10.

Starting level for Mathieu Castagnet: 41,779, level confidence: 46%.
Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 33,254, level confidence: 40%.
Mathieu Castagnet to win as he is currently playing 26% better than Ramit Tandon.

Mathieu Castagnet won 67% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 20%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 27% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mathieu Castagnet played 23% better than Ramit Tandon in this match.

In this case, Mathieu Castagnet played at level 41,062 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Ramit Tandon is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.
As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mathieu Castagnet changes to 0% and Ramit Tandon changes to 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mathieu Castagnet: 68%, Ramit Tandon: 63%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mathieu Castagnet: 67%, Ramit Tandon: 63%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mathieu Castagnet: 41,705, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Ramit Tandon: 33,356, level confidence: 63%.