SquashLevels calculations
Leonel Cardenas v Timothy Brownell (Thu 12 Sep 2019)
Match won by Leonel Cardenas. Result: 11-5,9-11,11-8,11-4.
Starting level for
Leonel Cardenas:
27,120, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for
Timothy Brownell:
19,911, level confidence: 59%.
Leonel Cardenas to win as he is currently playing
36% better than Timothy Brownell.
Leonel Cardenas won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Leonel Cardenas played
33% better than Timothy Brownell in this match.
In this case, Leonel Cardenas played at level 26,531 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Timothy Brownell is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Leonel Cardenas: 79%, Timothy Brownell: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Leonel Cardenas: 78%, Timothy Brownell: 76%.
Final level for Leonel Cardenas:
27,120, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Timothy Brownell:
19,911, level confidence: 76%.