SquashLevels calculations
Torrie Malik v Roxy Keshavarz (Thu 03 Oct 2019)
Match won by Torrie Malik. Result: 11-5,11-2,11-6.
Starting level for
Torrie Malik:
6,778, level confidence: 59%.
Starting level for
Roxy Keshavarz:
2,075, level confidence: 36%.
Torrie Malik to win as she is currently playing
227% better than Roxy Keshavarz.
Torrie Malik won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if she was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Torrie Malik played
154% better than Roxy Keshavarz in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Torrie Malik was taking it easy by anything up to 27%. This gives her an allowed level range for this match between 3,311 and 6,778 without affecting her level.
In this case, Torrie Malik played at level 5,267 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Roxy Keshavarz is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Torrie Malik: 77%, Roxy Keshavarz: 60%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Torrie Malik: 67%, Roxy Keshavarz: 53%.
A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Torrie Malik:
6,795, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Roxy Keshavarz:
2,080, level confidence: 53%.