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Steve Baker v James Ramsey (Thu 17 Oct 2019)

Match won by Steve Baker. Result: 11-6,11-7,11-7.

Starting level for Steve Baker: 2,259, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for James Ramsey: 1,258, level confidence: 30%.
Steve Baker to win as he is currently playing 80% better than James Ramsey.

Steve Baker won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Steve Baker played 65% better than James Ramsey in this match.

In this case, Steve Baker played at level 2,076 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, James Ramsey is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Steve Baker: 84%, James Ramsey: 54%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Steve Baker: 81%, James Ramsey: 52%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Steve Baker: 2,256, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for James Ramsey: 1,256, level confidence: 52%.