SquashLevels calculations
Torrie Malik v Rosie Kirsch (Sat 21 Sep 2019)
Match won by Torrie Malik. Result: 11-7,11-5,11-2.
Starting level for
Torrie Malik:
6,384, level confidence: 55%.
Starting level for
Rosie Kirsch:
2,295, level confidence: 51%.
Torrie Malik to win as she is currently playing
178% better than Rosie Kirsch.
Torrie Malik won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if she was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Torrie Malik played
136% better than Rosie Kirsch in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Torrie Malik was taking it easy by anything up to 22%. This gives her an allowed level range for this match between 3,888 and 6,384 without affecting her level.
In this case, Torrie Malik played at level 5,410 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Rosie Kirsch is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Torrie Malik: 74%, Rosie Kirsch: 71%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Torrie Malik: 68%, Rosie Kirsch: 65%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Torrie Malik:
6,374, level confidence: 68%.
Final level for Rosie Kirsch:
2,292, level confidence: 65%.