SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Leonel Cardenas v Alister Walker (Thu 17 Oct 2019)

Match won by Leonel Cardenas. Result: 12-10,7-11,11-4,11-7.

Starting level for Leonel Cardenas: 27,602, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for Alister Walker: 25,878, level confidence: 34%.
Leonel Cardenas to win as he is currently playing 7% better than Alister Walker.

Leonel Cardenas won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 28% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Leonel Cardenas played 26% better than Alister Walker in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Leonel Cardenas actually played at a level of 30,004 and Alister Walker at a level of 23,807. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 8.7% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Leonel Cardenas changes to +4.2% and Alister Walker changes to -8.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Leonel Cardenas becomes +1.5% and for Alister Walker becomes -2.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Texas Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Leonel Cardenas: 83%, Alister Walker: 59%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Leonel Cardenas: 77%, Alister Walker: 54%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Leonel Cardenas: 27,998, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Alister Walker: 25,399, level confidence: 54%.