SquashLevels calculations
Joel Makin v Victor Crouin (Tue 29 Oct 2019)
Match won by Joel Makin. Result: 11-8,11-8,12-10.
Starting level for
Joel Makin:
56,740, level confidence: 56%.
Starting level for
Victor Crouin:
40,133, level confidence: 64%.
Joel Makin to win as he is currently playing
41% better than Victor Crouin.
Joel Makin won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 31% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joel Makin played
39% better than Victor Crouin in this match.
In this case, Joel Makin played at level 55,691 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Victor Crouin is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joel Makin: 75%, Victor Crouin: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joel Makin: 74%, Victor Crouin: 79%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Joel Makin:
56,837, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Victor Crouin:
40,336, level confidence: 79%.