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Torrie Malik v Emily Jones (Fri 01 Nov 2019)

Match won by Torrie Malik. Result: 11-1,11-5,11-3.

Starting level for Torrie Malik: 6,314, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Emily Jones: 1,163, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Torrie Malik to win as she is currently playing 443% better than Emily Jones.

Torrie Malik won all of the games and 79% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 267% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Torrie Malik played 267% better than Emily Jones in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Torrie Malik was taking it easy by anything up to 45%. This gives her an allowed level range for this match between 1,938 and 6,314 without affecting her level.

In this case, Torrie Malik played at level 4,264 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Emily Jones is considered to have not played better than expected and her level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Torrie Malik: 82%, Emily Jones: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Torrie Malik: 67%, Emily Jones: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Torrie Malik: 6,305, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Emily Jones: 1,161, level confidence: 73%.