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Diego Elias v Ivan Yuen (Sun 10 Nov 2019)

Match won by Diego Elias. Result: 11-8,11-9,14-12.

Starting level for Diego Elias: 56,414, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for Ivan Yuen: 35,367, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Diego Elias to win as he is currently playing 60% better than Ivan Yuen.

Diego Elias won all of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 24% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Diego Elias played 34% better than Ivan Yuen in this match.

As Diego Elias has played below his allowed range at 48,590, his level reduction is 2.3% before damping. On the assumption that Diego Elias would normally have been playing at level 52,951 (based on typical behaviour), Ivan Yuen played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.6%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.8% and 4.4% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Diego Elias changes to -1.8% and Ivan Yuen changes to +3.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Diego Elias becomes -0.7% and for Ivan Yuen becomes +1.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA World Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Diego Elias: 83%, Ivan Yuen: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Diego Elias: 76%, Ivan Yuen: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Diego Elias: 55,834, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Ivan Yuen: 35,958, level confidence: 83%.