SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Karim Abdel Gawad v Auguste Dussourd (Sun 10 Nov 2019)

Match won by Karim Abdel Gawad. Result: 11-4,11-8,13-11.

Starting level for Karim Abdel Gawad: 67,145, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Auguste Dussourd: 30,715, level confidence: 58%.
Karim Abdel Gawad to win as he is currently playing 119% better than Auguste Dussourd.

Karim Abdel Gawad won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 52% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Karim Abdel Gawad played 53% better than Auguste Dussourd in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Karim Abdel Gawad was taking it easy by anything up to 15%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 48,766 and 67,145 without affecting his level.

As Karim Abdel Gawad has played below his allowed range at 47,888, his level reduction is 1.8% before damping. On the assumption that Karim Abdel Gawad would normally have been playing at level 57,222 (based on typical behaviour), Auguste Dussourd played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 10.3%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.2% and 6.9% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Karim Abdel Gawad changes to -1.1% and Auguste Dussourd changes to +6.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Karim Abdel Gawad becomes -0.4% and for Auguste Dussourd becomes +1.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA World Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Karim Abdel Gawad: 79%, Auguste Dussourd: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Karim Abdel Gawad: 66%, Auguste Dussourd: 63%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Karim Abdel Gawad: 66,505, level confidence: 66%.
Final level for Auguste Dussourd: 31,449, level confidence: 63%.