SquashLevels calculations
Simon Rösner v Declan James (Mon 11 Nov 2019)
Match won by Simon Rösner. Result: 11-9,9-11,11-8,11-9.
Starting level for
Simon Rösner:
48,502, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Declan James:
39,784, level confidence: 68%.
Simon Rösner to win as he is currently playing
22% better than Declan James.
Simon Rösner won 75% of the games and 53% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 14% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Simon Rösner played
21% better than Declan James in this match.
In this case, Simon Rösner played at level 48,222 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Declan James is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Rösner: 90%, Declan James: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Rösner: 90%, Declan James: 82%.
A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Simon Rösner:
48,455, level confidence: 90%.
Final level for Declan James:
39,902, level confidence: 82%.