SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Leslie Callow v Ben Leith (Mon 18 Nov 2019)

Match won by Ben Leith. Result: 15-9,15-14,12-15,9-15,9-15.

Starting level for Leslie Callow: 836, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ben Leith: 717, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Leslie Callow to win as he is currently playing 17% better than Ben Leith.

Ben Leith won 60% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 13% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ben Leith played 11% better than Leslie Callow in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ben Leith actually played at a level of 815 and Leslie Callow at a level of 735. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 14% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ben Leith changes to +12% and Leslie Callow changes to -13%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ben Leith becomes +7.2% and for Leslie Callow becomes -7.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Isle of Man Winter League 2019/20' so the adjustment for Ben Leith is +5.4% and for Leslie Callow is -5.7%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Leslie Callow is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ben Leith: 87%, Leslie Callow: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ben Leith: 77%, Leslie Callow: 74%.

A final adjustment of +0.9% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Leslie Callow: 812, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Ben Leith: 755, level confidence: 77%.