SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

James Willstrop v Mohammad Syafiq Kamal (Fri 22 Nov 2019)

Match won by James Willstrop. Result: 11-6,11-2,11-2.

Starting level for James Willstrop: 47,003, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 21,161, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
James Willstrop to win as he is currently playing 122% better than Mohammad Syafiq Kamal.

James Willstrop won all of the games and 77% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 230% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Willstrop played 230% better than Mohammad Syafiq Kamal in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like James Willstrop actually played at a level of 57,291 and Mohammad Syafiq Kamal at a level of 17,361. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 22% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 14% and 14% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for James Willstrop changes to +14% and Mohammad Syafiq Kamal changes to -10.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for James Willstrop becomes +3.1% and for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal becomes -2.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA London Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Willstrop: 76%, Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Willstrop: 63%, Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 70%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Willstrop: 48,021, level confidence: 63%.
Final level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 20,754, level confidence: 70%.