SquashLevels calculations
Declan James v Nick Wall (Tue 03 Dec 2019)
Match won by Declan James. Result: 11-5,11-9,11-7.
Starting level for
Declan James:
39,962, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Nick Wall:
25,367, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Declan James to win as he is currently playing
58% better than Nick Wall.
Declan James won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Declan James played
56% better than Nick Wall in this match.
In this case, Declan James played at level 39,683 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Nick Wall is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Declan James: 84%, Nick Wall: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Declan James: 83%, Nick Wall: 93%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Declan James:
39,902, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Nick Wall:
25,329, level confidence: 93%.