SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Thomas Knight v Adam Hayward (Tue 10 Dec 2019)

Match won by Thomas Knight. Result: 15-5,15-11,17-19,15-12.

Starting level for Thomas Knight: 2,393, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Adam Hayward: 1,979, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Thomas Knight to win as he is currently playing 21% better than Adam Hayward.

Thomas Knight won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 32% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Thomas Knight played 27% better than Adam Hayward in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Thomas Knight actually played at a level of 2,455 and Adam Hayward at a level of 1,929. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 2.6% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Thomas Knight changes to +2.4% and Adam Hayward changes to -2.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Thomas Knight becomes +1.7% and for Adam Hayward becomes -1.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Sussex Mens League 2019/2020' so the adjustment for Thomas Knight is +1.3% and for Adam Hayward is -1.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Thomas Knight: 86%, Adam Hayward: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Thomas Knight: 84%, Adam Hayward: 85%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Thomas Knight: 2,420, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Adam Hayward: 1,951, level confidence: 85%.