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Borja Golan v Robertino Pezzota (Wed 27 Nov 2019)

Match won by Borja Golan. Result: 11-3,9-11,11-4,11-5.

Starting level for Borja Golan: 40,359, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Robertino Pezzota: 26,470, level confidence: 69%.
Borja Golan to win as he is currently playing 52% better than Robertino Pezzota.

Borja Golan won 75% of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Borja Golan played 44% better than Robertino Pezzota in this match.

In this case, Borja Golan played at level 38,198 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Robertino Pezzota is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Borja Golan changes to 0% and Robertino Pezzota changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Borja Golan becomes 0% and for Robertino Pezzota becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior World Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Borja Golan: 87%, Robertino Pezzota: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Borja Golan: 84%, Robertino Pezzota: 81%.

A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Borja Golan: 40,396, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Robertino Pezzota: 26,723, level confidence: 81%.