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Alan Clyne v Man Tong Chua (Thu 28 Nov 2019)

Match won by Alan Clyne. Result: 11-5,11-2,11-1.

Starting level for Alan Clyne: 38,579, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Man Tong Chua: 8,621, level confidence: 59%.
Alan Clyne to win as he is currently playing 348% better than Man Tong Chua.

Alan Clyne won all of the games and 80% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 313% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alan Clyne played 313% better than Man Tong Chua in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Alan Clyne was taking it easy by anything up to 38%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 14,652 and 38,579 without affecting his level.

In this case, Alan Clyne played at level 35,562 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Man Tong Chua is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alan Clyne: 79%, Man Tong Chua: 77%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alan Clyne: 75%, Man Tong Chua: 74%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Alan Clyne: 38,521, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Man Tong Chua: 8,608, level confidence: 74%.