SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ali Farag v Adrian Waller (Sat 21 Dec 2019)

Match won by Ali Farag. Result: 11-6,11-6,12-14,11-4.

Starting level for Ali Farag: 69,180, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Adrian Waller: 48,471, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Ali Farag to win as he is currently playing 43% better than Adrian Waller.

Ali Farag won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ali Farag played 33% better than Adrian Waller in this match.

In this case, Ali Farag played at level 65,543 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Ali Farag would normally have been playing at level 66,513 (based on typical behaviour), Adrian Waller played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 1.5%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ali Farag changes to 0% and Adrian Waller changes to +1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ali Farag becomes 0% and for Adrian Waller becomes +0.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior World Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ali Farag: 76%, Adrian Waller: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ali Farag: 74%, Adrian Waller: 82%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ali Farag: 68,819, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Adrian Waller: 48,818, level confidence: 82%.