SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Patrick Rooney v Harry Falconer (Tue 14 Jan 2020)

Match won by Patrick Rooney. Result: 11-4,11-9,11-1.

Starting level for Patrick Rooney: 37,219, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Harry Falconer: 20,336, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Patrick Rooney to win as he is currently playing 83% better than Harry Falconer.

Patrick Rooney won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Patrick Rooney played 136% better than Harry Falconer in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Patrick Rooney actually played at a level of 42,238 and Harry Falconer at a level of 17,919. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 13% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 9.8% and 9.8% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Patrick Rooney changes to +9.1% and Harry Falconer changes to -9.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Patrick Rooney becomes +2.3% and for Harry Falconer becomes -2.7%.

Given Patrick Rooney's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 65% has been applied to his level change.

Given Harry Falconer's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 40% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'NW Counties Winter League 2019/20' so the adjustment for Patrick Rooney is +1% and for Harry Falconer is -1.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Patrick Rooney: 88%, Harry Falconer: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Patrick Rooney: 77%, Harry Falconer: 74%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Patrick Rooney: 37,550, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Harry Falconer: 20,017, level confidence: 74%.