SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Nick Wall v Alan Clyne (Thu 13 Feb 2020)

Match won by Alan Clyne. Result: 5-11,7-11,4-11.

Starting level for Nick Wall: 26,858, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Alan Clyne: 37,517, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Alan Clyne to win as he is currently playing 40% better than Nick Wall.

Alan Clyne won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 106% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alan Clyne played 106% better than Nick Wall in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Alan Clyne actually played at a level of 45,588 and Nick Wall at a level of 22,103. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 22% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 18% and 18% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Alan Clyne changes to +15% and Nick Wall changes to -18%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Alan Clyne becomes +3.3% and for Nick Wall becomes -4.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'AJ Bell National Championships 2020' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alan Clyne: 90%, Nick Wall: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alan Clyne: 74%, Nick Wall: 67%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nick Wall: 26,027, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Alan Clyne: 38,523, level confidence: 74%.