SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Declan James v Patrick Rooney (Thu 13 Feb 2020)

Match won by Declan James. Result: 13-11,11-8,11-5.

Starting level for Declan James: 43,353, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Patrick Rooney: 35,920, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Declan James to win as he is currently playing 21% better than Patrick Rooney.

Declan James won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 46% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Declan James played 49% better than Patrick Rooney in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Declan James actually played at a level of 48,146 and Patrick Rooney at a level of 32,344. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11.1% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Declan James changes to +10% and Patrick Rooney changes to -7.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Declan James becomes +2.4% and for Patrick Rooney becomes -2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'AJ Bell National Championships 2020' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Declan James: 79%, Patrick Rooney: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Declan James: 71%, Patrick Rooney: 81%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Declan James: 44,173, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Patrick Rooney: 35,308, level confidence: 81%.