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Patrick Rooney v Jack Turney (Tue 18 Feb 2020)

Match won by Patrick Rooney. Result: 11-7,11-2,11-7.

Starting level for Patrick Rooney: 35,308, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jack Turney: 16,044, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Patrick Rooney to win as he is currently playing 120% better than Jack Turney.

Patrick Rooney won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 106% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Patrick Rooney played 106% better than Jack Turney in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Patrick Rooney was taking it easy by anything up to 15%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 24,519 and 35,308 without affecting his level.

In this case, Patrick Rooney played at level 33,091 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Jack Turney is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Patrick Rooney: 89%, Jack Turney: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Patrick Rooney: 86%, Jack Turney: 86%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Patrick Rooney: 35,255, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Jack Turney: 16,020, level confidence: 86%.